Tunisian Electricity and Gas Company Develops Automated Electricity Demand Forecasting System
The Tunisian Electricity and Gas Company (STEG), in collaboration with the Japanese International Cooperation Agency (JICA), has developed an automated system for forecasting electricity demand. According to reports, this tool is part of a technical cooperation project dedicated to decarbonization and securing the electricity supply in Tunisia.
Project Overview
Presented as one of the major results of the program, this device aims to improve the planning capacity of the national electricity grid in a context of transformation of the energy sector. The project, launched in 2024 for a period of two years, supports Tunisia's efforts to integrate more renewable energies into its energy mix. The country has set a target of achieving around 35% of production from renewable sources by 2030. This evolution implies a gradual adaptation of the electricity system, particularly due to the intermittency of solar and wind sources.
Automated Forecasting System
The developed system relies on machine learning techniques and exploits various input data, including weather parameters, to estimate electricity demand with greater precision. The objective is to strengthen the reliability of forecasts and optimize the balance between production and consumption. This approach is part of a broader trend of digitization of electricity network management, with the introduction of tools capable of automating certain planning functions.
Complementary Developments
Several complementary aspects have also been developed as part of this cooperation. Work has been done on the integration of electric vehicle charging infrastructure into the national grid, with a technical framework and secure connection objective. These works are expected to contribute to the development of technical standards currently being prepared by STEG. The project has also focused on energy storage systems using batteries. Technical specification proposals have been established to define the connection conditions for these installations to the electricity grid.
Project Outcomes and Future Directions
The results of the project were presented at the closing meeting of the joint coordination committee, bringing together representatives from the Ministry of Industry, STEG, and JICA. The overall work is part of an approach aimed at strengthening the stability of the Tunisian electricity system, while supporting the evolution towards a more diversified and less carbon-intensive energy model.
