IMF Anticipates Slight Acceleration of Global Economic Growth in 2025
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects a slight acceleration of global economic growth in 2025, accompanied by a continued decline in inflation. The Washington-based organization forecasts a growth rate of 3.3% this year and next, an improvement over the 3.2% recorded in 2024.
However, this growth remains below the average annual rate of 3.7% observed between 2000 and 2019, reflecting the persistent impact of major shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the invasion of Ukraine. Global inflation, on the other hand, is expected to decline from 5.7% in 2024 to 4.2% in 2025 and 3.5% by 2026, according to the IMF report.
The United States is showing a notable economic performance, with a growth rate forecasted at 2.7% in 2025, supported by a dynamic labor market and productivity gains. In contrast, the eurozone is experiencing a slower recovery, with a growth rate estimated at 1% this year, compared to 0.8% in 2024.
On the other hand, China's growth is expected to slow down to 4.6% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026, mainly due to difficulties in the real estate sector and a decline in consumer confidence.
Finally, the IMF's global growth forecasts exceed those of the World Bank, which estimates a growth rate of 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, highlighting that this pace remains insufficient to reduce poverty in the least developed countries.
